Categories
Financial talks at dinner table Life insurance

A Family Conversation on Life Insurance

The Takeaways:

  1. Only half (50%) of the US population owned life insurance policies in 2022, down from 63% in 2011.
  2. The good news is that the “ownership gap” (between people who believe they should have a policy and people who actually own one, sometimes known as “Need-to-Have” gap) for life insurance is smaller (at 18%) than property insurance (up to 54%). The bad news is the gap has been increasing recently.
  3. There are two fundamental types of life insurance: Permanent vs Term. A term life policy is for temporary coverage over a predetermined length of time, typically no more than 30 years, while a permanent policy covers policyholder’s entire lifetime ending in death.
  4. All term life policies only cover death benefit with zero cash value regardless of the length of term, while all permanent life policies accumulate cash value to be used for policyholders before death. Term life policies are much cheaper to begin with, but they all have a specific “expiration date,” after which your premium payment is completely gone if you are still alive. Permanent life policies do not expire and the money you saved will be there — for you or your loved ones.
  5. For policyholders, the most important “must know” concepts are living- versus death-benefits. The former is designed for policyholders’ own welfare before death, while the latter for the named beneficiaries.
  6. For a long time in the past, life insurance has been largely driven by “altruistic” death benefit in the sense that only proven (or presumed) death of the policyholder triggers benefit distribution. However, annuities for guaranteed post-retirement income, critical care insurance for acute illnesses and long term care for chronic illnesses, these have changed the game profoundly.

Last time the Kingstons talked about inflation and central banks in relation to decentralized finance or DeFi. Today they decided to talk about something more practical and mundane: Life insurance.

Lily: Yesterday we talked about inflation and local reservoirs for holding the flood of money directly from central banks. Kim mentioned household savings as the terminal end of reservoirs, and I talked about life insurance policies as an alternative to household savings. Can we talk more about life insurance today? Part of my job involves marketing life insurance.

Kimberley: That sounds interesting, unless Mom and Dad had something else in mind.

Joy: Insurance is fine with me, especially life insurance, as many people bought auto insurance because the law says they must, but I assume life insurance is not as popular as auto insurance.

Lily: I’m glad you mentioned that. My company invited a knowledgeable speaker from a top life insurance company to educate us last week, and everyone feels they are gaining a lot. The speaker made frequent referral to this website called bestliferates.org during his presentation. Check that site out if you are interested. The only thing is that it covers data up until 2020, not the latest. Anyway, in 2020, only about 54% Americans had life insurance.

Kimberly: So barely over half the people are covered by life insurance in this country.

Lily: Yeah. That 54% is called the rate of “market penetration” for life insurance. Here is the bad news: Over the past decade the penetration rate has been moving downward, meaning fewer and fewer Americans have life insurance coverage today than before. In 2011, for example, 63% Americans had life insurance, but only 54% did in 2020, almost a 10% decrease.

Jason: I wish we knew more recent figures, like from last year.

Lily: We do, actually. This website called Statistica.com tells us that in 2022, based on the LIMRA, which stands for Life Insurance Marketing and Research Association, and Life Happens’ 2022 Insurance Barometer study, the penetration rate was 50%, 4% lower than 2020.

Joy: Hmm. Did the speaker explain why the penetration rate is down?

Lily: He did — at least partially. He talked about insurance “ownership gap” or “need gap,” which is the difference between how many people believe they need life insurance and those who actually own one. Sometimes it’s called the “Need-to-Have” gap. So if 50 out of 100 people believe they need life insurance but only 30 of the 50 actually own a life policy, that gap is 50% – 30% = 20%, meaning life insurance companies have a big job to do to get that 20% to buy life policies.

Jason: Wait, what is a “life policy?” Isn’t a “policy” a rule or regulation like “No gun in school” policy or no racial discrimination policy?

Lily: I don’t know why an insurance contract is called “policy” or “plan.” If I must guess, it may have something to do with the “contract of adhesion,” meaning in an insurance contract only one party, usually the “insurer” or insurance company, fixes the terms of the contract and the other party, usually the “insured” or policyholder, must accept or reject it. So this is like government or authorities make policy and citizens must obey it.

Kimberly: Back to the ownership gap, I just want to make sure I get it. You said if 50 out of 100 people wanted life insurance but only 30 had it, the ownership gap is 20%. Now, let’s say 45, not 30, of the 50 people had a life policy, the ownership gap would be only 5%, right?

Lily: Right. The good news is that compared with property insurance, life insurance has a smaller ownership gap, meaning more people who want a life policy will get one. I remember reading somewhere that says the ownership gap was huge in properties insurance when we look at property losses from natural disasters. We are talking about trillions of dollars there.

Greg: You are right. The most reliable source for that is reinsurance companies, you know, those provide insurance for insurers, or “insurer of the insurers.” I read …

Jason: So why do we need reinsurance companies if we already have insurance firms?

Greg: Well, it’s a way to control or rather to transfer risk for each insurance company. Think of why we buy insurance. We buy a policy because in case something happens to our home, our auto, our health, our income, or our capability to live a normal life, what can we do about it?  

Jason: Not much. We just hope bad things don’t happen to us.

Greg: This is a common mindset but seriously, there are several common strategies in handling risks. One is avoiding, meaning if driving is risky of traffic accident, we don’t driving at all. Another is risk retention, meaning we simply accept the risk and swallow the consequences.

Jason: These are not insurance, right?

Greg: No, of course not. If everybody is avoiding and accepting risks, there is no business doing insurance. The idea behind insurance is transferring risk, not avoiding, not accepting. Insurance is basically a deal or a contract between insured and insurer, the insured won’t take the risk by themselves because it’s too much for them to take. So they pay the premium money to an insurer and ask them to take the risk for them, in the sense that insurer will pay money to the insured to cover their losses when bad things do happen.

Kimberly: So in that case, insurers need reinsurance just like we ordinary people need insurer?

Greg: Exactly. That’s why reinsurance is called “insurance for insurance companies,” or a contract between a reinsurer and an insurer. Just like we pay premiums to insurers, an insurer also pay premiums to the reinsurer. Anyway, back to the ownership gap in the property insurance world as I was saying, there is a study by Swiss Re, one of the largest reinsurance firms, that says only 45% of global economic losses from natural disaster were covered by insurance in 2022. That means 55% were not insured, which is a shockingly large number.

Kimberly: 55% is for the world, perhaps the US is lower?

Lily: Not necessarily. I remember reading an interesting article on AP news that says our country is Earth’s “punching bag” for nasty weather because of the unique geography. We are hit “by stronger, costlier, more varied and frequent extreme weather than anywhere on the planet.” We also have the two oceans of Atlantic and Pacific, plus “the Gulf of Mexico, the Rocky Mountains, jutting peninsulas like Florida, clashing storm fronts and the jet stream combine to naturally brew the nastiest of weather.”

Kimberly: Interesting! Now, if we take 55% as the ownership gap for property insurance, what is the ownership gap for life insurance?

Lily: Much better actually. The highest life insurance ownership gap came in 2020 at 16% if I remember it correctly. Jason, could you go to the website “bestliferates.org” please? I want to cite numbers there.

Jason: I just found it. Which numbers are you looking for?

Lily: Search for the words “ownership gap” please.

Jason: Sure. It says in 2011 the ownership gap was 7%. The lowest gap was only 3% in 2013, while the highest, like you said, came in 2020 at 16%. But wait, here is another website called Moneygeek.com that has newer figures. In 2022, 50% of Americans had life insurance like you mentioned earlier, but 68% believed they needed life insurance coverage, so the ownership gap is 18%, 2% higher than in 2020.    

Joy: Hmm, I was gonna say that the pandemic finally woke people up for life insurance, but I guess that hasn’t been translated into real ownership figure. Instead of reducing the ownership gap, it increases it.

Lily: That seems to be the case. Life insurers really need to do a better job for reducing that ownership gap to a single digit.

Jason: The same website, I mean “Moneygeek.com,” also tells us that of the 50% owning a life policy, 59% bought on their own, while 23% received a policy from employers. The remaining 18% had life coverage from both sources.

Kimberly: Maybe it makes sense to add that 59% and 18% together: These are the people who actively bought life policies on their own, which is 77% or nearly 80%. The other 23% perhaps don’t count as much because they were given a policy by employers or someone else. After they retire or leave the job, they may or may not have life insurance.

Lily: You are right. Employer provided life policies are a part of employment benefit and are almost always group life policies. Many group life policies automatically terminate once the employee leaves the job. Some companies may offer “portable” policies that continue to cover you after retirement but that’s rare and there is no guarantee. Therefore, if a life policy was given by the employer, the person may not continue after retirement.

Jason: Wait, what is group life insurance?

Joy: It’s a type of insurance offered by employers or organizations to employees or members. There is a single “master” contract between the employer and the insurer, but covers everyone or at least full time members for the employer. Each employee or member receives a certificate of coverage. Because of its coverage to many people, its price is usually lower. This is just like buying stuff from Costco, when many shoppers buy in bulk from the same place the price goes down.

Greg: I wonder whether we should completely ignore group life policyholders. The way I understand it, employer-sponsored group life insurance comes in two types: Basic and Supplemental. Basic group life insurance is a policy offered as an employee’s benefit, typically free or highly affordable. In addition, they are often guaranteed issues, meaning you will qualify regardless of your age or medical history.

Kimberly: That makes sense: If someone is still working, they can’t be too old nor too sick. But why would anyone buy supplemental policy if they have the basic policy?

Joy: Because a basic life policy is what its name says: Basic, in the sense that it only provide basic or barebone coverage. I remember reading an article on Forbes Advisor that says the basic policy typically pays the amount that’s equal to one year’s salary, or a lump sum that is, depending on the employers,  typically only around $25,000 according to a survey of compensation. That’s not enough for many if not most people.

Kimberly: So people buy additional supplemental policy to get more coverage for themselves or for someone else?

Joy: Both. They can choose to add additional coverage for themselves, or they can buy additional coverage for spouses and children. It is also called voluntary life insurance and typically bought from the workplace. You obviously need to have basic insurance before you buy supplemental. According to the article by nerdwallet.com, “Maximums typically hover around $500,000 but can reach into the millions of dollars. In some cases, managers or high-level executives have access to higher amounts than rank-and-file employees.”

Kimberly: Basic policies are guaranteed issue, how about the supplemental policy?

Joy: Generally no. At the minimum, health questions or even a life insurance medical exam may be needed. Employees usually will have to buy it with their own money, although for spouse or child the prices are generally cheap.

Kimberly: You talked about having a master contract for the entire group of employees. How does the employer sponsored group life insurance work?

Lily: Most group life are term life policies, sometimes you need to renew it every year, called Yearly Renewable Term or YRT. Other times term life policies last longer, ranging from 5 to 30 years. The most popular term is 20 years, followed by 10 year and then 30 years, according to an insurance survey report. Regardless of the length of the term, it’s still term, meaning there is an “expiration” day when the term is over. In general, all term life policies are cheaper than permanent life, meaning you pay lower premium. A group term life policy covers many people, so it’s even cheaper than individual life policy.  

Jason: Other than being cheaper, is there any other difference between term- and permanent-life insurance?

Lily: The most obvious difference is that term life provides temporary or limited time protection while permanent life is “permanent,” meaning the coverage is there for the entire life of the policyholder.

Kimberly: Do they really mean that? What if someone lives to the age of 100? Will her permanent life insurance policy still cover her?

Joy: I’m glad you asked. I was reading this article of Forbes Advisor. It says, “many forms of permanent life insurance issued prior to 2004 have maturing dates of 100,” meaning even a permanent life insurance will expire before death. What is bad is that “the policyholder (and their heirs) get nothing, despite decades of paying into the policy.”

Kimberly: That IS terrible. Are they still doing that?

Joy: Not according to the Forbes article, which tells us that in 2018, there were 94,000 “Centenarians” according to the Census Bureau, meaning people who lives past 100. I won’t be surprised if we now have 100,000 centenarians in this country.

Jason: So how do they fix the expiration problem?

Joy: Interestingly they did it in a scientifical way in 2004 using the so called “mortality table.” If you don’t know, mortality table, which is also called life table or actuarial table, is a statistical table that lists the rate of deaths by ages, or more accurately the probability of death over ages. This table is used not just by insurance but also governmental agencies like the Social Security Admin. For example, when you are before your first birthday in the US, your death probability is 0.005837. But when you are 119 year old, you have a death probability of 0.972793, which is close to certainty. Previously the maximum was 100, but after 2004 it is 121 year old.

Kimberly: The new mortality table would offer extended coverage but what about those who bought the policy much early, before 2004?

Joy: Good question. The answer is provided in the same Forbes article: “Many insurers, in addition to updating their mortality tables beyond age 100, have added a Maturity Extension Rider (MER) to existing policies issued long ago to extend their coverage.” In other words, even though the old mortality table did not have anything above 100, the old policyholders will still be covered by a rider or extension.

Lily: We’ve been talking about permanent life policies and now I want to go back to comparing term and permanent policies. The difference is not absolute because once the term expires when the policyholder is still alive, she can (1) renew or extend it for another term; (2) convert to a permanent policy, or (3) stop the contract altogether. In that case the person loses life insurance, which is not recommended.  

Joy: The key difference I believe is that a term life policy gives no value to a policyholder, because it is all about death benefits, meaning the insurance firms pay the beneficiaries money when the policyholder is dead before the term is over. That death benefit is guaranteed. Let’s say you bought a 20-year term life policy and 20 years later if you are still alive, you get nothing back from the policy — unless you switch to a permanent life policy or extend it to another 10 years.

Greg: This is why they say term life is a “using it or losing it” policy. The insurance company that sells 30 year term policy is betting that you won’t die within 30 years, so they get to keep your premium money without paying you anything. This is also why they charge so low a premium, especially for young people, who are unlikely to die in 30 years.

Jason: Sounds like insurance company has good deal: It can collect premium from term life policyholder but not paying death benefit to anyone — unless the policyholder died before the term is over. They should go around finding more people who they believe will still be alive after 30 years and then sell term policy to those people, right?

Greg: It’s tricky to say that insurance companies make money by term life premium. It’s true that term life premium becomes a source of income for an insurer, and if a term life policy paid no death benefit, the insurer would make money from the premiums paid by the policyholder. The same goes to some insurance policies that go unclaimed. Any expired term life policies or unclaimed policies are good news for insurance firms because it means they have collected decades of premiums without paying out any claims.

Joy: I have a feeling that you have more to say on how insurance firms make money. It’s getting late and let’s stop here as we’ve had a long meal today.

Categories
Did You Know? Life insurance

Insurance for Properties & Protecting Life

The Takeaways:

  1. Property insurance and life insurance are two major categories with different purposes, for different people, and covering different things.
  2. A trend of late is to see property insurance rate moving up, while real life insurance rate going down.
  3. One important but little known way of predicting insurance cost is to look at reinsurance cost insurance firms pay to reinsurance company.
  4. More competition, advanced technology for underwriting, increased life expectancy, better risk management and more informed consumers, these all contribute to a lower cost of life policies.

Property Insurance vs. Life Insurance: An Overview

Did you know one way to divide insurance business is to separate them into property insurance and life insurance? Yes that’s true and property and life insurances make up the biggest categories, in addition to a few other “biggies” like commercial insurance, liability insurance and health insurance.

Property insurance is about protecting physical assets (e.g., personal homes and personal belongings, businesses building and business properties, vehicles) against financial losses from covered perils (i.e., direct causes of loss that your insurer will pay you for) like fire, theft, weather damage and natural disasters. They differ from life insurance in two ways: What they cover and for whom. Simply put, (1) property insurance is always protecting properties while life insurance is always protecting loss of human lives; and (2) property insurance is always designed for property owners, while life insurance is mostly designed for the loved ones of the policyholder, occasionally for the policyholder themselves.

Note property and property insurance are not always the same. It is easy to think of property insurance as for autos and homes. After all, for most families the biggest asset is the house. But insurance terminology does not always work that way. Strictly speaking property insurance does not cover everything related to your house or autos. Remember property insurance only protects property owners? That means whenever your insurance pays money to someone else, that part of coverage belongs to liability insurance, not property insurance.

Consider an easy example: Say you were driving under influence, and you hit Joe’s car, your auto insurance will pay Joe for his bodily injury and his car damage. That money received by Joe is not strictly from your property insurance but rather your liability insurance, even though the same (comprehensive) auto policy of yours will cover both.

Life insurance, on the other hand, protects financial loss caused by the loss of human lives, not physical properties. While property insurance protects property owner(s), life insurance mostly protects others — your loved ones — although it can protect oneself (i.e., the policyholder, see more details below).

Because life insurance mostly protect your loved ones, “death benefits” is a big term that appears in all life insurance policies. This is for a good reason: Death benefits often are the biggest chunk of insurance payment. It is called death benefits because they must be paid after the policyholder is dead, only to beneficiaries (i.e., recipients of insurance payment).

But death benefits are not the only benefits in a life insurance policy. Sometimes we can receive “living benefits” that are unique in two ways: They are paid to policyholders themselves rather than to their loved ones, and they are paid when policyholders are still alive.

This is a topic for another day, and I will not get into details in this post. What I will say is a quick fact that term life insurance can have living benefit as well, contrary to a misconception some may have. For example, a terminal illness rider is typically included automatically on term life policies, providing a lump sum payment if the policyholder is diagnosed with a terminal illness and has a life expectancy of 12 months or less.

Insurance vs Reinsurance

One of the reliable ways for predicting how much premium you and I will pay for our insurance policies is to look at reinsurance cost for the insurance companies like in this report of January 2023.

Many if not most of us have never heard the word “reinsurance” before, or have but did not bother to dig deeper into it. It sounds more complicated than insurance and yet seems to be one of those things that we can afford to ignore in our lives.

In truth, reinsurance has lot to do with how much you and I will pay for our insurance premium. Let me explain. Reinsurance is simply insurance of the insurances, and only insurers or insurance companies can and will buy it, not individuals. That said, the way it works is the same: We pay premiums to the insurers for the right to receive insurance payment in case we have financial loss due to the agreed perils or direct causes of loss. Insurers also pay premium to a reinsurance company so that if during catastrophic events there are more claims than the insurers can pay, they will ask reinsurer to pay it.

Reinsurance is especially important for catastrophes like earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, wildfires, and volcanic eruptions. Human-caused catastrophes can include industrial accidents, terrorist attacks, wars, and pandemics.

Catastrophes could be disasters for any particular individuals, businesses and governments alike. But they are especially bad news for insurance companies as they bring significant financial losses for insurance companies that are unable to cover the costs of claims made by policyholders.

Insurance industry has a quantitative threshold for an event to be designated a catastrophe “when claims are expected to reach a certain dollar threshold, currently set at $25 million, and more than a certain number of policyholders and insurance companies are affected.” According to this article by Triple-I.  

You probably think insurance companies all have a deep pocket that can survive any catastrophes with no problem paying insurance claims. In truth, some insurance companies are pretty vulnerable to disasters, which is why you often hear the news that some insurers got themselves into insolvency, meaning they run out of money to pay the claims from their policyholders or clients.

By buying reinsurance, insurance companies transfer some of the risk they have taken on by insuring their customers to another insurer.

From Reinsurance Cost to Insurance Cost

Here is what ChatGPT has to say about how reinsurance premium is related to our own insurance premium to be paid to our insurer.

“Yes, generally higher reinsurance costs can lead to higher insurance premiums for customers… When reinsurance costs are higher, it means that the insurance company is paying more to transfer its risk to another company. To make up for this added cost, the insurance company may pass on the cost to customers in the form of higher insurance premiums.”

Of course, there are many factors that can affect insurance premiums, like the level of risk being insured, the insurer’s expenses, and competition in the insurance market. But reinsurance cost is one of the major factors because it is the cost for the insurers to do business, which is always significant just like in any other business.

But how does reinsurance firm determine how much it will charge insurers? It is not much different from how an insurer determines our premium. The key factors are risks involved, past frequency and severity of claims made, plus industry trends and the overall cost of risk across insurers, allowing reinsurers to set more accurate prices for their coverage.

ChatGPT tells us the following: “If reinsurance rates are high, it may indicate that reinsurers are pricing their coverage more cautiously, which suggests that the overall cost of risk in the insurance market is high. This can lead insurance companies to increase the premiums they charge customers to compensate for the increased cost of risk.”

“Overall, while reinsurance rates are not the only factor that insurance companies consider when setting premiums, they can be a useful indicator of the overall cost of risk in the insurance market and may play a role in determining the prices that customers ultimately pay for insurance coverage.”

Property Insurance Rate Goes Up, Real Life Insurance Rate Down

ChatGPT tells us the following that “it appears that property insurance rates are indeed on the rise in the US. A report by Gallagher Re shows that property catastrophe reinsurance rates for loss-hit US accounts increased by between 45% and 100% at Jan. 1 renewals, indicating a significant increase in rates for property insurance policies in some areas. This trend of increasing property insurance rates is also supported by a recent analysis by Bankrate.com, which found that the average homeowner spends about 1.91% of their household income on home insurance, a figure that has been rising over time.”

This report in Business Insurance cites a report from Amwins Group Inc as saying: “Property markets will remain hard with no softening in the foreseeable future.” “Due to the challenges in the property market, however, reinsurers are being ‘extremely cautious’ with all their capacity.” The reason for property insurance market getting tough is “the combined effects of a major hurricane making U.S. landfall in five out of the last six years, wildfires engulfing thousands of acres, unprecedented winter storms and Midwest flooding. All ‘have played a major role in hardening the insurance marketplace.’”

What about life insurance premium? ChatGPT tells us that the trend of premiums for life insurance policies has remained relatively stable in recent years. This may not sound exciting but wait for taking inflation into account: Life insurance prices remained relatively the same throughout 2021 despite inflation and an increase in death claims. The average monthly cost of a $250,000 policy only increased by a small amount from January 2021 to December 2021.

Combining the above I’d say the “real” (i.e., inflation adjusted) life insurance premium has gone down.

While there is no specific data provided for California, it is likely that the trend of stable premiums applies to the state as well.

It should be noted that while the cost of premiums may remain relatively stable, they can still vary depending on factors such as age, gender, and health status.

Explaining the Decreasing Real Life Insurance Cost

ChatGPT offers several reasons why life insurance rate may go down (with my edit):

  • Improved Health: One of the primary factors that influence life insurance premiums is the health of the policyholder. If you have made positive lifestyle changes that have led to improved health, such as quitting smoking or losing weight, then you may be eligible for lower premiums. Note this is an individual specific reason, although modern medical technologies can certainly benefit anyone.
  • Increased Competition: As more insurance companies enter the market, there is greater competition to offer more affordable policies. This can lead to lower prices for consumers as companies try to attract more business.
  • Lower Risk: Insurance companies base their premiums on risk factors such as age, health, and lifestyle. If these risk factors decrease over time, then insurance companies may lower their premiums accordingly.
  • Advances in Technology: With advancements in medical technology, it has become easier to diagnose and treat various illnesses. As a result, life insurance companies may be more confident in their ability to predict the life expectancy of policyholders, and this can lead to lower premiums. The other reason is the use of technology in underwriting, such as using Google Maps for homeowner policies and wearable devices for monitoring personal fitness.
  • Economic Conditions: Finally, economic conditions can also impact life insurance costs. If interest rates are low, for example, insurance companies may need to lower their premiums in order to remain competitive and attract new policyholders.